The president of Russia Putin visited Republic of Belarus at the beginning of July, 2014. He had a restricted meeting with the president of Belarus Lukashenko. There is no information about the issues discussed on this meeting. But the Geostrategy Group has received some indications that the plan of possible entering Russian army through the territory of Belarus to Ukraine was discussed. What Ukraine should think as an adequate response to this potential challenge?
In view of very complicated and unfriendly international political environment toward Russia, who aggressively behaves towards its neighboring country – Ukraine, Moscow is seeking the practical ways to split the EU position regarding Ukraine. Austria – is one of the EU country which assists Russia to complicate the way out in East Ukraine crisis.
The mass-media covered the elections to the European Parliament putting the particular stress on the so-called new political trend reflects the increasing of Euro skepticism among the EU member-states. But the situation on the ground is slightly different: the Central Europe is saving the Euro perspectives for Ukraine.
The former high-ranked persons who were involved into the sphere of Ukrainian foreign policy and Secret services could transfer information with a very restricted access to the Russian secret services. If this possible betrayal occurs, it could cause to the negative consequences for Ukrainian foreign activities.
The history of capture by separatists in the Eastern Ukraine the military representatives of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe and after that the successful release them by Vladimir Lukin (Russia) and Torbjorn Jagland (the Secretary General of the Council of Europe) provides a rich food for thoughts regarding the scale of Russia’s influence on this organization.
The foreign policy and military activity of Russia, which has resulted in the annexation of the Crimea and attempted armed seizure of territories in Eastern Ukraine, led to the freezing of the active relations between Russia and the European Union and the United States. Is China stand behind the Russian isolation from active political and economic dialogue with the West?
Сarefully reviewing the shorthand and the video released after the intervention of Vladimir Putin before Russian audience on April 17, 2014, the Geostrategy used the method of psycholinguistic analysis, which allowed determining the so-called system of values in which current owner of the Kremlin is living. It provides the opportunity to see what is behind the political statements expressed by Putin.
The latest internal developments in Ukraine particularly related to the illegal annexation of the Crimea by Russia are still attracting a lot of attention of the world mass-media. Most of them are tending to consider Ukraine – Russia tensions as a part of the Russia’s global game aimed at reshaping the existing world order.
Falling of Yanukovych’s regime caused by pressure from civil society, and the annexation of the Russian Federation a part of Ukraine, spooked Central Asia. Primarily - Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, where significant Russian-speaking population are living. The local residents fear that the Kremlin could use this as an excuse for domestic interference in their lives by playing the same "Crimean card."
The Geostrategy considers the crisis situation in the Crimea in a broader international context. In the world today there are many conflict zones, similar to the situation in the Autonomy. These conflicts are in various stages of development, but the brutal behavior of Russia could cause them sharp aggravation and, consequently, the occurrence of latent conflicts in the “hot phase”.