Falling of Yanukovych’s regime caused by pressure from civil society, and the annexation of the Russian Federation a part of Ukraine, spooked Central Asia. Primarily - Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, where significant Russian-speaking population are living. The local residents fear that the Kremlin could use this as an excuse for domestic interference in their lives by playing the same "Crimean card."
The Geostrategy considers the crisis situation in the Crimea in a broader international context. In the world today there are many conflict zones, similar to the situation in the Autonomy. These conflicts are in various stages of development, but the brutal behavior of Russia could cause them sharp aggravation and, consequently, the occurrence of latent conflicts in the “hot phase”.
The ongoing profound political crisis in Crimea is affecting the whole Black sea region. Turkey, which is a Ukraine’s strategic partner, is strangely keeping the silence on this matter. What reasons are behind of this rather strange Turkey’s behavior? Are there any secret agreements reached between Turkey and Russia – the country which is deeply and quickly sliding into the international isolation?
The acting foreign minister Leonod Kozhara is preparing the corruption scheme which is solely aimed at using the state budget resources for personal enrichment of the minister and his close partners.
According to the accumulated recent data statistics on the development of the 83 Russian regions, rather difficult political and economical perspective could be predicted for its neighboring country. Difficult situation in the Russian regions has already leaded to covert rebellion. Ukrainian officials should think twice before deciding to turn to the Customs Union instead of the EU perspectives.
A lot of complicated speculations had been made around the traveling of the member of Ukrainian Parliament Elena Bondarenko to the United States. Someone insisted that the US Embassy, taking into account the latest repressions against Ukrainians, canceled the entry visa for Elena Bondarenko, who is an active member of the ruling Party of regions. What could be true in this story?
The latest political developments in Ukraine demonstrate the increasing attempts of Russia to keep the effective control over of the most important part of the whole Europe – the Eastern and Central Europe. More precise analysis has been made on the state of cooperation between Russia and Poland, Hungary, Romania, Slovak Republic, Check Republic and Bulgaria that helps Ukraine to make better political projection of the Russian policy towards Kyiv.
According to the outcomes of the latest analysis which main aim was to understand the trends of the latest internal processes in the Ukrainian Foreign Service, the whole diplomatic system faces significant difficulties. The brutal deaths of Ukrainians had occurred last days caused to further demoralization. The majority of the diplomatic staff is finding the possible ways for fighting for democratic future of the country.
The Annual Forecast for 2014 with a prediction of the main trends in global policy and foreign affairs and finding the proper place of Ukraine in those trends is a regular attempt of the Geostrategy Group to take a precise glance on the changing world and Ukraine in the world. What Kyiv should expect in the New Year and who will be the main global Players on the Ukrainian political field?
In 2013 Croatia became twenty eight member state of the European Union. Some high-level officials from Brussels were quick to state that joining Croatia to the EU is a real proof of the continuation of the the united Europe’s viability. But hardly Croatia will be able to become in the nearest future a real full member of the European Union. What are the reasons behind this statement?