У 2018 році Україна продовжить зіштовхуватися із міжнародними викликами, при цьому їх масштаби та зміст будуть значно складнішими, ніж дотепер. Геополітичний ландшафт не дасть офіційному Києву можливості «розслабитись», і така ситуація матиме кілька вимірів: з одного боку, буде складніше утримувати «проукраїнську» коаліцію за участю США і Європейського Союзу, а з іншого – це дасть можливість відшліфувати дипломатичну майстерність у відстоюванні національних інтересів.
The Silk Road project of delivering goods from China to the European Union’s market plays significant role for both Ukraine and Slovakia through which territories export comes to the market. Two mentioned countries have a unique chance to build up new facilities for delivering Chinese goods to the EU’s market and subsequently expand its influence over one of the biggest market in the world.
The ongoing investigation process of catastrophe occurred with Malaysia Airlines flight MH-17, which is conducting, by Netherland’s authorities has been overshadowed by unpleasant situation with one of the politician Pieter Omtzigt from Dutch Parliament. He tried to manipulate the investigation process by presenting fake witness who confirmed Ukraine’s involvement into the tragedy. What does it mean for Ukraine?
In a 60-minute interview in mid-January 2017, the U.S. president Donald TRAMP criticized the European Union as "basically a vehicle for Germany" claiming that it was a "very catastrophic mistake" on Angela Merkel’s part to admit a million refugees - whom he refers to as "illegals". Is it still the tension between the EU and US or it slowly comes on the normalization level?
From the EU point of view, the recent elections in France and Germany poses some new elements in the context of further settlement of the Ukraine-Russia conflict. Holding its control over the internal political processes in both mentioned countries, Macron and Merkel will be forced to soften their positions towards Russia.
Ongoing dialogue on political and security matters among the European Union and the United States shows that big potential for further conflict between two strategic partners has been avoided. It opens opportunities for Ukraine who is seeking Transatlantic unity for stopping Russian military aggression and occupation of Crimea. But some challenges regarding possible devastating relations between Brussels and Washington still exist.
This is well known fact that Iran possesses significant volumes of the deposits of the natural gas and oil. After lifting serious restrictive measures imposed on Iran by the European Union and the US more than twenty years ago, now this country begins recovering and slowly winning its own place on the European oil and gas market. It brings some very concrete threats for Russian energy companies.
Hungary as a member-state of the European Union is still attempting to renew its relations with Russia at the expense of worsening cooperation with neighboring Ukraine. Official Budapest even openly ignores the commonly agreed position of Brussels regarding Russia’s behavior in Ukraine and temporarily occupied Crimea. It possesses some very serious threats from further Ukraine – Hungarian relations.
The first trip of the US President to Europe created mix feelings regarding the anticipation what a format would be for further development of the EU – US strategic relationships. However, despite anything, there is a fact that the US President is not very much involved and even not interested to be involving into the European affairs. At the same time, the expansion of the NATO at the expense of Montenegro has proved opposite thinking.
The ongoing internal processes in neighboring Moldova poses some very sensitive threats for the national security of Ukraine. Primarily, because the President of Moldova expresses its political wishes to enhance cooperation with Russia and simultaneously, diminish its cooperation with the European Union and NATO. It might cause to internal turbulences in Moldova as a reaction to deepening cooperation with Russia with unpredictable outcomes.