One of the most stable countries in the region of the Central Asia – Turkmenistan – is now facing a number of serious challenges related to the possible social-political turbulences. One of the key factors is low global oil prices. Another factor is strictly connected to serious deterioration of the internal situation in Russia which is suffering from imposing sanctions against Moscow. Russia’s aggression against Ukraine triggered dangerous processes in the Central Asia as well.
The uncontrolled aggressive behaviour of the Moscow leader Vladimir Putin towards its neighbouring countries, particularly regarding Ukraine, provoked the global players to start thinking about the demontage of the current Russian political regime. It seems that those changes might be triggered by the two countries located in the Central Asia – Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.
Under the conditions of continued international political pressure and almost formal diplomatic isolation, the Moscow’s authorities are trying to build up the new alternatives to the Western block – Shanghai Organization for Cooperation. But this initiative becomes a serious trap for Russia. Why?
The Islamic state which appeared on the political map of the Middle East in 2006, confused all cards of the major geopolitical players. Established control over the part of territory of Syria and Iraq by the Islamic state created the threats for many actors, including the USA, Russian the EU and even China. Who stands behind of these phenomena? The group expressed its own thoughts.
There are a lot of political speculations around the very sensitive issue of the foreign weapon’s supply to Ukraine which is opposing the Russian military aggression in the Donbas. The recent visit of the Ukrainian President Poroshenko to the United Arab Emirates underlined the fact that those uncertainties will be continued till the situation on the ground remains tense.
The Euromaidan events, occurred in 2014, and Russian military aggression against Crimean Peninsula and in the Donbas as consequences of those developments dramatically changed the political attitude of Azerbaijan towards Ukraine. The political approaches of Baku were also significantly changed towards the Russian Federation. What are the today’s political preferences which the official Baku is following?
While Ukraine is facing pro-Russian military aggression in the Donbas region, Georgia enhances the full-scale cooperation the NATO. It raises some serious concern from the Russian side, which continues to believing that the NATO is still considering some options to undermine the Russian’s dominance on the territory of the former USSR.
Facing numerous economic problems, related particularly to the high inflation, low oil price and imposed sanctions by the Western countries, the Kremlin is considering budget cuts for 2015. Those constraints would have far-reaching effects, which could lead as to further turbulence on the Russian market as well as to deterioration of the social life in the country.
The lessons learned from the war between former Soviet Union and Finland in 1939 - 1940 are considered as a very interesting for Ukraine which stands at war with Russian Federation since 2014. Relatively small Finland, being unprepared to the war, but using smart military planning and strategy, inflicted great damage for Soviet army. Ukraine should learn some interesting details for more effective self-defense.
Recent events have shown that the Ukrainian society, without the ideological help able to determine the relevant national meaning and purposes. The place of ideology took pathos of transformation, backed by the ideals and values. Does Ukraine need official ideology? Does Ukraine need pro-government Church? Perhaps a single local church is important to us not as a policy tool, but as a symbol of our spiritual unity?