Facing numerous economic problems, related particularly to the high inflation, low oil price and imposed sanctions by the Western countries, the Kremlin is considering budget cuts for 2015. Those constraints would have far-reaching effects, which could lead as to further turbulence on the Russian market as well as to deterioration of the social life in the country.
The lessons learned from the war between former Soviet Union and Finland in 1939 - 1940 are considered as a very interesting for Ukraine which stands at war with Russian Federation since 2014. Relatively small Finland, being unprepared to the war, but using smart military planning and strategy, inflicted great damage for Soviet army. Ukraine should learn some interesting details for more effective self-defense.
Recent events have shown that the Ukrainian society, without the ideological help able to determine the relevant national meaning and purposes. The place of ideology took pathos of transformation, backed by the ideals and values. Does Ukraine need official ideology? Does Ukraine need pro-government Church? Perhaps a single local church is important to us not as a policy tool, but as a symbol of our spiritual unity?
The illegal annexation of Crimea in 2014 by the Russian Federation leaded to the situation when Odesa begins to play vitally important role for further Moscow’s political and military expansion over Ukraine. Multiple bombing attacks on the city occurred in 2014. But despite it Russia continues to lose Odesa as a platform for destabilizing situation in Ukraine.
Аналитики группы глобальной разведки Geostrategy, проведя финансовые расчеты параметров федерального бюджета России, пришли к выводу, что в следующем году объемы финансирования Министерства иностранных дел России и Службы внешней разведки будут существенно урезаны. Такое решение связано с несколькими факторами.
According to our estimations, the new 2015 will become very fragile as in the context of the Russian-Ukrainian bilateral relations as well as in the global European context. Russia continues suffering from the sanctions imposed by the West, and therefore the Russian Government is expected to be substituted. Ukraine will have unique chance to make profound internal reforms in extremely difficult circumstances.
The large number of analytical materials that were published in mass-media and leading non-governmental organizations in foreign policy during latest November – December 2015, raised serious concerns regarding the perspective of the settlement crisis between Ukraine and Russia. According to them, there are still not reachable solutions of this complicated crisis and Russia will be suffered even more that Ukraine.
In Russian expert community a very fragile processes of finding possible compromises about the future of the Donbass and Crimea has been launched. This process indicates the desire of some Russian experts to stop the insanity that occurs in the Russian-Ukrainian relations. Three are some scenarios that are being discussed on the expert level. The deep-frozen conflict on Donbass seems the most visible at the current stage.
The Geostrategy Group recently communicated with a few very wealthy Russian families that have long been living in the European Union’s countries. These families have a joint Russian-European business, which began in late 1990 upset years. After talking emerged the feeling that the Russian middle class is moving from his usual state of comfort towards a panic.
The former State Secretary of the Unites States Henry Kissinger, who is one of the most inclinational foreign policy experts in the world, expressed on different occasions its opinions on recent developments about relations between Russia and the West. What does it mean for Ukrainian long-term national intestates? And how Russian behavior could affect the world’s future?