The ongoing profound political crisis in Crimea is affecting the whole Black sea region. Turkey, which is a Ukraine’s strategic partner, is strangely keeping the silence on this matter. What reasons are behind of this rather strange Turkey’s behavior? Are there any secret agreements reached between Turkey and Russia – the country which is deeply and quickly sliding into the international isolation?
The constitutional reforms in two neighboring countries – Hungary and Romania – are aiming at enforcing the Parliaments and weakening the Presidents in both countries. These trends are happening because these two countries intend to react more quickly on the geopolitical challenges that appear in the region of the Eastern and Central Europe. What does it mean for Ukraine?
The aggressive behavior of Russia after quick collapse of Viktor Yanukovych’s political regime, especially in Crimea, is threatening Ukraine’s territorial integrity and political sovereignty. It should stimulate official Kyiv to making urgent efforts on the path of calming down Russia and ensuring Moscow that the new Government of Ukraine will remain interested in continuation of cooperation with Russia in nuclear energy, airplane and military industries.
The acting foreign minister Leonod Kozhara is preparing the corruption scheme which is solely aimed at using the state budget resources for personal enrichment of the minister and his close partners.
According to the accumulated recent data statistics on the development of the 83 Russian regions, rather difficult political and economical perspective could be predicted for its neighboring country. Difficult situation in the Russian regions has already leaded to covert rebellion. Ukrainian officials should think twice before deciding to turn to the Customs Union instead of the EU perspectives.
The failure in signing the Association Agreement between Ukraine and the European Union considered by Russian diplomacy as an important victory achieved on the way of formation in 2015 of a new interstate association - the Eurasian Economic Union. For further successful continuation of these efforts Russia is planning to launch the special operations against the member of the European Parliament who provided significant support for the Eastern Partnership countries.
During last two weeks the United States and the European Union has began to speak loudly about the possible implication of the international economical and political sanctions towards Ukraine. Proceeding from the Western’s serious intentions, the needs for detailed explanations what sanctions could be applied to Ukrainian politicians appeared suddenly. Therefore analysts have examined the different form of international sanctions that might be imposed as towards the Ukrainian personalities as well as the biggest companies such as the SKM-group, SMART-group, GDF, Ferrexpo and UkrSpezExport.
In December 2013 the mass-media of Germany confirmed the rumor that the German Government is ready to make a political bet on Volodymyr Klitschko. Because the German mass-media just reconfirmed the assumption made by the Geostrategy in August 2012 the analysts decided to take a more deep look on this important political issue.
The latest developments in the United States – Iran relations are staring to change the geopolitical checks and balances in the Caucuses regions settled up within the Soviet era. But now those obvious improvements between Washington and Teheran appeared on November 2013 might reflect on the whole Caucuses region and especially on the perspective of Nagorno-Karabakh conflict settlement. What does it mean for Ukraine?
The Geostrategy Group has learned the details from the meeting between the Prime Minister Azarov and Ambassadors of the EU member states, the USA and Canada, as well as head of the EU Delegation to Ukraine that was held in Kyiv on 2 December, 2013. According to our sources, the Ukrainian Prime Minister sent disturbing political signal to the West.